Naspers was a Cape Town newspaper publisher that had already diversified into pay television as print circulation faced a long decline. Chasing the dot-com boom, it poured money into running its own internet ventures inside China, trying to plant a Western media and portal model there; the 2001 crash left it having lost roughly $100 million on the attempt, and it was pulling out. Chief executive Koos Bekker, in China to wind the ventures down, was approached by two young founders of a small instant-messaging operator called Tencent, whose QQ platform had users but no working revenue model.

Rather than try another venture of its own, Bekker had Naspers buy a stake directly in the founders' company. In 2001 Naspers invested $32 million for roughly 46.5% of Tencent, then a business with essentially no proven monetization, against the advice of its own legal counsel. The move traded operating a China internet business for owning a share of one run by people who understood the market Naspers had just failed in.

Bought a $32m stake in Tencent, a local founder's messaging startup, instead of running another venture, winning a share worth over $175bn by 2018.

Naspers had already proven, at a cost of about $100m, that it could not run a Western internet model successfully inside China — so the next bet was on local founders' judgment instead of its own.

Buying equity rather than launching a venture meant Naspers carried no operating risk in a market it had just shown it did not understand.

Tencent's QQ had a large, engaged user base even without a working revenue model, which mattered more to the bet than short-term monetization Naspers could point to.

The stake was large enough (46.5%) to make the outcome material to Naspers rather than a side wager, which is why it reshaped the company rather than just padding a portfolio.

When a company fails at a market on its own terms, the next move can be buying a stake in someone who already fits that market, instead of trying the same playbook again with new management.

Tencent went public in Hong Kong in 2004, diluting Naspers's stake to roughly 35% and later around 34%. By March 2018 Naspers sold 2% of its holding for $9.8 billion, valuing its remaining position at about $175 billion against the original $32 million outlay, and by 2020 the stake was valued at roughly $158.7 billion. Naspers's own market value became so tied to the holding that in 2019 it spun the international internet assets, including the Tencent stake, into a separately listed company, Prosus, while continuing to hold South African media and pay-TV operations under the Naspers name.

FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

The sources

  1. This Media Firm Bet $32 Million on Tencent in 2001. Now It's Selling a Sliver of Its Investment—for $10.6 Billion finance.yahoo.com
  2. Tencent Drops a Further $22 Billion After Naspers Trims Stake bloomberg.com
  3. Naspers Raises $9.8bn In Tencent Share Sale, As Messaging Giant Loses $51bn In Two Days forbes.com