TransDigm sells proprietary, largely sole-source aircraft parts and makes most of its profit on aftermarket sales that follow each plane for decades. When COVID-19 grounded global fleets in March 2020, that engine stalled: the company withdrew fiscal 2020 guidance on May 5, 2020, warning of a significant hit to commercial aftermarket and OEM demand, and cut up to 15% of its workforce, furloughed staff, slashed senior-executive pay and had its board forgo retainers.

The decisive move came while credit markets were still in free fall. In March 2020 TransDigm drew $200M on its revolver as a precaution; then in the first half of April it sold $1.1B of 8.00% senior secured notes due 2025 at par and, days later, a $400M tack-on of 6.25% notes due 2026 at 101. Roughly $1.5B of fresh fixed-rate debt landed during the very weeks most issuers could not price a bond, and the company even kept repurchasing its own shares in March, spending $18.9M.

By September 30, 2020 the balance sheet held $4,717M of cash plus $521M of revolver availability — $5,238M of total liquidity, more than a year's revenue, for a company whose fiscal 2020 sales of $5,103M came in only 2.3% below the prior year because defense demand offset the commercial collapse. The fortress was not cheap: net interest expense ran over $1B a year. But it meant no vendor, employee or refinancing desk could force a decision on TransDigm during the downturn.

When flying returned, the strategy paid for itself. Fiscal 2022 sales reached $5,429M with $866M of net income, and fiscal 2023 set records: $6,585M of net sales, $1,298M of net income, $22.03 of EPS and a 51.6% EBITDA As Defined margin. The company resumed dividends — $18.50 per share in fiscal 2022 — while competitors that had rationed cash spent the recovery repairing their balance sheets instead.

FY2023 net sales $6,585M and net income $1,298M, both records; EBITDA As Defined margin 51.6%; dividends resumed at $18.50/share in FY2022.

Proprietary sole-source parts carry pricing power that survives a demand shock; the only question was whether leverage would force a sale or a default before demand returned.

Credit windows close fastest at the top of a panic. Raising $1.5B in early April 2020, at 8.00% secured, bought out the freeze before spreads could widen further.

Deep cost cuts — 15% of staff, furloughs, executive pay cuts, board retainers forgone — kept the debt-funded fortress from becoming a casualty of its own leverage.

Liquidity was optionality: $5.2B let TransDigm keep supplying customers, buy back stock in the crash, and refinance on its own schedule instead of the market's.

In a liquidity panic, fixed-rate debt priced at panic spreads is the cheapest option a solvent firm can buy: TransDigm paid 8% to keep its aftermarket engine running while rivals rationed cash.

TransDigm rode the air-travel recovery without distress: fiscal 2022 net sales were $5,429M and fiscal 2023 set company records at $6,585M of sales, $1,298M of net income and a 51.6% EBITDA As Defined margin, with interest expense of $1,164M showing the leverage was never truly unwound, only outgrown. Shareholder returns resumed — $18.50 per share in dividends during fiscal 2022 — and the 8.00% 2025 notes were refinanced as markets reopened, leaving the April 2020 raise looking like a $1.5B option on the recovery bought at panic prices.

FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

The sources

  1. Form 8-K: issuance of $1.1 billion 8.00% Senior Secured Notes due 2025 sec.gov
  2. Fiscal 2020 second quarter results press release (Exhibit 99.1) sec.gov
  3. Form 10-K, fiscal year ended September 30, 2020 sec.gov
  4. Form 10-K, fiscal year ended September 30, 2023 sec.gov